These papers were either rejected by reviewers or not completed sufficiently to submit them for publication. Nevertheless they contain ideas I hope will be of interest.
The Primary Destination Tour Approach to Travel Demand Modelling: An Empirical Approach and Modelling Implications (with G. E. Weisbrod) Cambridge Systematics Inc., 1979 (unpublished).
Gives a very early and detailed analysis of travel patterns considered as tours.
Antonisse, R. W., Daly, A. J. and Gunn, H. F. (1986) The Primary Destination Tour Approach for Modelling Trip Chains, P.T.R.C. Summer Annual Meeting.
Summarises the approach to be used for modelling travel as tours.
Daly, A., Gunn, H., Hungerink, G., Kroes, E. and Mijjer, P. (1990) Peak-Period Proportions in Large-Scale Modelling, presented to P.T.R.C. Summer Annual Meeting.
Shows how to integrate time-period choice into an existing mode and destination choice model.
Daly, A. J. and Lindveld, K. R. (1995) Forecasting Non-Home-Based Trips as Components of a Tour Model, presented to PTRC European Transport Forum.
Gives an approach for forecasting non-home-based trips as part of a tour model.
Daly, A.J. (1998) Prototypical Sample Enumeration as a Basis for Forecasting with Disaggregate Models. In: PTRC/AET Conference.
Compares the quadratic optimisation process (QUAD) with IPF and discusses implementation.
Daly, A.J. (1999) The use of schedule-based assignments in public transport modelling, European Transport Conference, Cambridge.
Compares schedule-based with frequency-based assignments and gives some modelling results.
Daly, A.J. (2000) Estimating values of travel time In: Conference on Value of Time held at Easthampstead Park (1996), published by PTRC.
Gives a history of methods of estimation of values of travel time up to the mid 1990s, explaining the reasons for current methods.
Milthorpe, F., Daly, A.J., Rohr, C. (2000) Re-estimation of the Sydney Travel Model In: IATBR 2000 Conference.
Describes the setting up of a classical tour-based large-scale model using home interview data.
Daly, A., Fox, J. and Rohr, C. (2002) Advanced modelling to overcome data limitations in the Norwegian Transport Model, presented at European Transport Conference, Cambridge.
Compares 3 methods for aggregating utility functions when data is inadequately precise.
Daly, A. and Miller, S. (2006) Advances in modelling traffic generation, presented to European Transport Conference, Strasbourg.
Extends earlier work on travel frequency choice models, applying utility theory and deriving welfare measures.
Kohli, S and Daly, A. (2006) The use of logsums in welfare estimation: application in PRISM, presented to European Transport Conference, Strasbourg.
Compares logsum and rule-of-a-half welfare calculation in the context of the West Midlands PRISM model.
Kouwenhoven, M., Rohr, C., Miller, S., Daly, A. and Laird, J. (2006) Evaluating a replacement ferry for the Isles of Scilly using a discrete choice model framework, presented to European Transport Conference, Strasbourg.
Describes the setting up of a corridor model using RP and SP data with an appraisal procedure based on logsums - small scale but the principles are not different from larger models.
Miller, S., Daly, A., Fox, J. and Kohli, S. (2007) Destination sampling in forecasting: application in the PRISM model for the UK West Midlands Region, presented to European Transport Conference, Noordwijkerhout.
Shows that destination sampling can be used in this forecasting model to improve speed without significant loss to accuracy.
Tsang, F., Daly, A. and Milthorpe, F. (2011) Forecasting car ownership in the Sydney area, presented to ATRF.
Presents a method for car ownership and licence forecasting, based on cohort and choice models with special reference to migration and company cars.
Daly, A., Fox, J., Patruni, B. and Milthorpe, F. (2012) Pivoting in travel demand models, presented at Australasian Transport Research Forum.
Describes improvements to the '8-case' pivoting method. This is an improved version of the 2011 ETC paper.
Daly, A. and Fox, J. (2012) Forecasting mode and destination choice responses to income change, presented at IATBR, Toronto.
Presents an approach for dealing with income growth in travel demand forecasting.
Christian Overgård, C., Daly, A., Vuk, G. (2021) Pivot point procedure in the COMPASS Activity-Based Model for Copenhagen, presented to European Transport Conference.
Extends the concept of pivoting to activity-based chains of trips and reports a practical application.
Choice modelling theory
Daly, A.J. (1998) Prototypical Sample Enumeration as a Basis for Forecasting with Disaggregate Models. In: PTRC/AET Conference.
Sets sample enumeration in the context of methods for integrating the demand function and compares it with zonal aggregations.
Daly, A. and Gunn, H. (2002) Simultaneous analysis of choice and transfer price data, presented at European Transport Conference, Cambridge.
Shows that a consistent analysis can be made with appropriate logit-based correction for transfer price data.
Daly, A. (2008) Elasticity, model scale and error, presented to European Transport Conference, Noordwijkerhout, Netherlands.
Shows how an improvement to a model can reduce error and increase the model scale but that aggregate elasticity remains constant.
Daly, A. and Tsang, F. (2009) Improving understanding of choice experiments to estimate values of time, presented to European Transport Conference, Noordwijkerhout.
Shows how choice models with additive or multiplicative error can be brought into one framework and that intermediate models can give the best solution.
Marzano, V. and Daly, A. (2007), Addressing homoskedasticity in invariant random utility models, presented to European Transport Conference, Noordwijkerhout.
Shows that homoskedasticity and utility correlation are jointly determined and that every probit model has an equivalent homoskedastic model. This is an improved draft of the conference paper.
Daly, A. and Hess, S. (2010) Simple approaches for random utility modelling with panel data, presented at ETC 2010.
Shows how different error measures can be derived and compared.